Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 17.647218 20.089359 22.753304 25.876064 29.438038 33.376424 38.064271
2024-10-27 14.042746 17.184404 20.869044 25.513809 31.219915 38.010752 46.721379
2024-11-03 11.887213 15.529341 20.090700 26.233150 34.307012 44.583901 58.701845
2024-11-10 10.297469 14.303633 19.639990 27.287657 38.003330 52.539873 73.855141
2024-11-17 8.735160 12.855640 18.672977 27.515937 40.680743 59.654757 89.262910
2024-11-24 7.171154 11.143930 17.068620 26.590432 41.603461 64.521541 102.467256
2024-12-01 5.922731 9.690352 15.608545 25.636825 42.337053 69.268618 116.462390
2024-12-08 5.067979 8.709643 14.720900 25.436614 44.243333 76.215598 135.394557
2024-12-15 4.441265 7.999397 14.157951 25.682837 46.955305 85.003205 159.247091
2024-12-22 3.873526 7.294693 13.489034 25.630021 49.143913 93.292999 183.916703
2024-12-29 3.521883 6.923877 13.357460 26.545374 53.306874 105.981028 219.572299
2025-01-05 3.132676 6.414550 12.882197 26.716395 56.063481 116.483057 253.066013
2025-01-12 2.694732 5.746335 12.012783 25.999582 57.019684 123.831371 282.199902
2025-01-19 2.363779 5.242375 11.393741 25.702663 58.838738 133.412534 318.553753
2025-01-26 2.165162 4.990677 11.269801 26.482753 63.247854 149.661601 374.268511
2025-02-02 2.011855 4.814370 11.284203 27.593625 68.684737 169.456239 443.427852
2025-02-09 1.821310 4.516620 10.968878 27.861742 72.151406 185.274093 506.386523
2025-02-16 1.589306 4.076061 10.236437 26.953117 72.464720 193.278294 550.579960
2025-02-23 1.388416 3.678056 9.540477 26.008388 72.507559 200.639570 594.973814
2025-03-02 1.249863 3.418193 9.153376 25.822800 74.616639 214.130433 660.768954
2025-03-09 1.146957 3.236189 8.941029 26.087047 78.084992 232.267146 745.458473
2025-03-16 1.043888 3.035094 8.641525 26.044715 80.657702 248.387985 828.123989
2025-03-23 0.986041 2.954042 8.667386 26.984602 86.467821 275.711982 955.064683